Caulfield:

Race 5, no.2: Our Smoking Joe

Has not had the slightest luck at all this preparation, trapped behind Youth when first up over 1400m, and then a few things didn't go his way last time. The step up to 2000m will suit and he should put up a bold showing, with top heavyweight S. Arnold on.

Race 7, no.2: Holding (IF WET)

If the track is wet, this mudlark will win in a canter, but should put in a bold showing regardless.

Belmont:

Race 6, no.1: Plastered

VRC Derby winner should be much too good for these.

Randwick:

Race 3, no. 2: Don Raphael

Saab Quality winner who should relish the increase in distance and drop in weight. Form encouraging and at last start charged from last at the 400m mark to finish 5th, albeit three lengths off. Group One Glen won't hurt either.

Race 4, no. 5: Alinghi

Outstanding sprinting filly who has improved considerably over the course of this preparation, whereas Fastnet Rock, whilst nevertheless racing extremely well, hasn't progressed like the filly has. Weight pull is slightly less than last start but Alinghi should still salute.

Race 5, no. 9: Mnemosyne

Absolutely flew home after missing the start a couple of lengths in the Golden Slipper. Every indication that the 1400m will suit her down to the ground.

Race 6, no. 1: Eremein

In true Denham style, more steak than sizzle. Just keeps racing well in similar company to what he meets here.

Best of luck punters as always.