Flemington:

Race 1, no.2: Refute

The Greame Rogerson trained, Lloyd Williams owned horse should be too strong for this lot. 2000m is not a worry as he has always seemed suited to a longer distance.

Race 2, no.2: Conrod Straight

Last start beaten just a neck by the highly promising Snippetson - excellent form line for this.

Race 3, no.9: Uprize

Gets 4 Kg for being beaten less than a length by Lyrical Bid last start, and should be able to turn the tables here.

Race 5, no.4: Under The Floor

Won in fine style last start and one would suspect he will reproduce here. Only beaten at first start by highly rated filly Opportunity.

Race 6, no.15: Barely A Moment

Hasn't had a lot of luck this preparation, but is quite a smart colt. Gets in here with only 50 Kg, and you would expect him to make a big showing from barrier one.

Race 7, no.1: Bondy

Tough, dour stayer who will keep going all day and into the best part of tomorrow. 3200m is his distance and he should have the goods here. Not much else of note here, except that Robbie Laing has given Pantani an unorthodox preparation, trialling him on several occasions, but not racing him, with the belief that racing over shorter distances is a waste with a horse like him. In any case, it will be interesting to see how he goes.

Race 8, no.2: Kylikwong

Second last start over 1400m, and will get better with the extra 200m. Class horse only beaten by the smallest of margins in the VRC Oaks by Hollow Bullet last year.

Rosehill

Race 1, no.6: Radetzky March

Impressive type who drops 3 Kg from last start second behind Kablammo. Should hold out an ordinary bunch here.

Race 3, no.1: Renewable

Best of these easily, some of whom I am convinced are entered to get their owners a ticket into the members on Slipper day. Will start very short.

Race 4, no.1: Hollow Bullet

VRC Oaks winner gets a longer distance and back to 3YO fillies class here. Form lines behind the main danger Lotteria are very questionable.

Race 5, no.1: Grand Armee

Australia's best horse. Up to 2400m, which is the query, but he has the class to handle it. Makybe Diva is obviously the main danger, although Cheval de Troy is one who should be watched.

Race 6, no.2: Desert War

I think that Regal Roller and Court's In Session are the best two horses here, but there will be so much pace at the front (Osca Warrior as well, if he goes in this one) that they will wear each other down.

Race 7, no.12: Mnemosyne

Darren Beadman had the option to ride about half the field (not quite, but at least four) so he clearly rates this filly as the best of that lot. Has been very consistent, and with some luck is as good a chance as any in a wide open race.

Race 8, no.2: Ike's Dream

Okay, Alinghi is clearly the outstanding horse in the field, but with the increase in trip to 1500m, adjusting to Sydney way of going, and wide draw, she is vulnerable, and you will almost certainly not get what I would consider a fair price ($3.30). Ike's Dream is a very nice mare who is back to around her ideal distance, and has Dazzling Darren aboard.

Best of luck punters,

TJH.