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October 31, 2005
Monthly summary October
Another month where we have shown a profit on a $1 each way investment on my tips
61 bets $122.00 invested
13 wins
18 placings
return $139.20
Profit $ 17.20
year to date
profit $144.60
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 07:01 PM | Comments (0) | Permalink
Results Marybourgh cup day
Well a frustrating day as all our tips finished second including the one i liked in the cup.
Did manage to get the quinella in the sixth race and Robric jonboy led all the way and just caught by a outsider in Tromos we also had the 3rd horse.
Good luck tomorrow in the cup go Eye popper.
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 05:20 PM | Comments (0) | Permalink
Melbourne Cup
Warning: No punches pulled.
The first thing I like to do when assessing cup form, is write off some horses who cannot possibly win or place.
That would be the following:
Franklins Gardens
Kindjhal
Dizelle
Vouvray
On A Jeune
Umbula
Bazelle
Envoy
Rizon
Strasbourg
Kamssky
Greys Inn
Hugs Dancer
Vinnie Roe
Portland Singa
These horses are either not good enough, or in bad form. Take my word for it.
The remaining 9, we need to be divided into the serious winning chances, and the possibilities.
Possibilities:
Distinction - Sixth in last year's Cup, after something of a torrid run. Last start in the Doncaster Cup was appalling, although you have to assume that was an aberration, otherwise connections would not have incurred the cost of sending him out here. Form prior to that was top notch.
Xcellent - Potential megastar who hasn't delivered as yet. Unorthodox campaign, but if the horses from Europe can win the cup first up, no reason he can't win with slightly more miles in the legs. Not without a hope, and don't leave him out of your multiples.
Demerger - Will run a strong 3200m, as won Adelaide Cup by seven lengths in Autumn. Been a touch disappointing lately, 10th last start in Caulfield Cup, but has been set for this all along.
Lachlan River - Fast finishing third in Mackinnon was too impressive to ignore. Form before that moderate. Should run a strong 3200m.
Serious chances:
Makybe Diva - What can you say, that hasn't already been said? Outstanding mare, not altogether badly weighted, custom made track courtesy of the VRC. Leave her out at your peril.
Eye Popper - Run of the race in the Caulfield Cup, went 3 or 4 wide most of the way and was done a neck. Beat Makybe home easily in Japan (don't believe the rubbish about the track being too hard). If I knew he was going to get a proper ride he would be almost a certainty.
Railings - Won the Caulfield Cup, and the jockey said he was only going to get better. Handicapper has got to him a bit, and if Eye Popper was ridden properly I couldn't see him beating that horse home, nevertheless, he may well not be ridden properly! Strong chance and will be in it for a long time. Jockey MUST go forward, and I'm pretty certain will.
Leica Falcon - Most has been said already, bush horse with a huge sprint. He ran the final 400m faster than any other runner on Caulfield Cup DAY. Huge show with 59 Kg.
Mr Celebrity - Looks a truly outstanding racehorse in the making. Forget the result of the Saab on Saturday, the run was huge, making up heaps of ground off a farcical pace. With only 49.5Kg on his back, will be running on hard.
My suggested bet is to box up my chances, (numbers 1,3,6,7,8,11,13,22,23, $18 for 50c), in a quinella and have something each way on Eye Popper.
Other tips for tomorrow:
Race 1, no.3: Follow The Till
Won a maiden at Ballarat by seven lengths so obviously has some ability. Against mostly unraced lot here.
Race 2, no.13: Sun Song
Fourth in smart mares race in Gosford last start. Astute stable. Well weighted.
Race 3, no.4: Douro Valley
Dour staying type with just that hint of class. Beautifully drawn, hard to see anything beating him here. Should win an Adelaide/Brisbane/Sydney Cup one day.
Race 4, no.13: Pin Up
Magnificently bred, (half sister to Starcraft, Forum Floozie), but less impressive at first up run. Had excuses, and the 1400m plus the weight scale is well in her advantage. Each way.
Race 5, no.7: Langness
'Won' the Blue Diamond preview that was later deemed a non race. Was utterly brilliant in that performance. Been generally disappointing since, but David Hayes may well be the man to sort it out. Worth having a nibble at odds.
Race 6, no.4: Funlove
Won most impressively last start at Caulfield and no harder here. Excellent each way chance.
Race 8, no.3: Oamaru Storm
Super consistent horse who loves the track. Great winning strike rate and excellent each way value.
Race 9, no.10: Unabated
Consistent mare who is well weighted and has good record at the track. Each way. Very open race.
Race 10. no.4: El Zahia
Handy gelding who has won first up before. Should sprint well fresh. Nice barrier and S. Arnold on. Another very, very open race.
Best of luck punters.
Posted by Tim in at 11:35 AM | Comments (0) | Permalink
October 30, 2005
marybourgh Sunday results
All our selections today saluted not real good prices but a winner is a winner and we have shown a profit and thats what its all about.
Cheers
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 07:46 PM | Comments (0) | Permalink
melbourne cup day trots
Understand a lot wont be able to get on but for those who can have a couple.
Newcastle
6/6 Oscar lochinvar. Has been trialing very well and maybe set for first up win.
Yarra valley
5/6 The piper. has won two trial in fair time is also first up but chance here.
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 02:16 PM | Comments (0) | Permalink
Marybourgh Cup day Monday
Another of the country pacing cups is on monday.this race has drawn a strong field but not in the same class as the kilmore race.
There is a couple of system tips but be warned this is a very tough meeting.
5/11 Safari. Tough race will be fitter for one start back from spell in which it started favorite. Main Dangers 6 / 7/ 8.
6/2 Sportspower. like this horse in good stable and also will be fitter for one run back from spell .Main dangers 7/10
Marybourgh cup
Im having something on the 4 Robric jonboy unlucky in Nyah cup not a bad run at Kilmore in sprint, there is a lot of chances but i have narowed it down to five. 4 Robric jonboy 9 Ok windmere won Nyah cup then well beaten in Kilmore cup 7 Dontfencemein second in Kilmore cup gives it strong claims here. 1 Bel cardo master is drawn to lead and could give them something to chase. 13 Manwarra maker off tough mark 3o mtrs but is tough horse and cant be left out.There is also several other chances but cant tip them all and think if you box up these five will go close to a collect.
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 09:29 AM | Comments (0) | Permalink
Newcastle Results
Sand pebbles much improved run and finished fast to grab 2nd behind the 2 Adacrombie dexter so we picked the quinlla.
Typhoon grace nice run for a first starter to come home hard and finish third worth following.
Keltic lad unplaced.
Anyone who follows these tips would have got the trifecta in the 2nd race as all horses were mentioned on this site last week.
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 08:19 AM | Comments (0) | Permalink
October 29, 2005
Add on Marybourgh
Missed one at it has a good chance.
6/9 Norm gallagher. Started favorite at debut and will be improved with the run good chance here.
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 09:28 AM | Comments (0) | Permalink
Newcatle Saturday Marybourgh sunday
2/4 Sand pebbles Have decided to give this horse one more chance is back in the draw here and really is the class horse. 2 will be hard to beat with better draw.
3/2 Typhoon grace. First starter who has won a trial here last week in good time.
8/9 keltic grace Will be long odds but did win trial here on wednesday in fast time so may improve.
Marybourgh
2/2 Xandu rock Will go close in this was unlucky last start.
3/9 Bit of courage.Is first up and is a rough chance on Geelong trial win.
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 08:40 AM | Comments (0) | Permalink
Results Friday
Wasnt real flash probably a bit over confident but really did think we would get a winner or two.
Imquteeboy. Missed start hoplessly has now ben stood down and has to trial again.
Damoan ross. Funny run unwanted in beating made move out wide and seemed beaten but noticed coming home ok near finish dont know.
olver kha Did nothing.
Disengaged finished 2nd nice run will win one soon.
Niasoux Teach me to listen to people didnt do much led and dropped put.
Glasscutters atom midfield finish was all that could be ecpected first up after deathseating.
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 08:06 AM | Comments (0) | Permalink
October 28, 2005
Late Ballarat tip
Have a late one for Ballarat
5/2 Niasioux form not real good but has a chance in this each way.
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 09:10 AM | Comments (0) | Permalink
October 27, 2005
Derby Day
My favourite day of racing on the calendar. Four Group One's, 9 Group races overall. What more could you possibly want? Incidentally, I have done this assessment on the assumption of a dead track.
Race 1: Carbine Club Stakes.
Very open race to kick off the program. Won last year, of course, by Al Maher, who subsequently won the Australian Guineas in the Spring.
Deregulate is $3.80 favourite but I think that price is too short, and anyway, I don't think he is the best chance here. Was second last start to Headturner over 1800m on Turnbull Day, but the form of that race is I think, questionable. I think he is better suited to more ground as well. I concede, however, he is very well weighted with just 52.5 Kg on his back.
Testafiable finally gets a good chance to win here. Last start was 10th in the Caulfield Guineas, but owing to the massive interference and heavy track, that can be forgiven. Form before then was solid, competitive in the Manikato Stakes and beaten less than two lengths by outstanding Sydney 3YO Paratroopers over 1400m at Randwick. He faces a much easier task here and I think he is good value at $7.50.
Robechon, Letter of Intent, and Airstream coming out the Listed 3YO race over 1400m race on Caulfield Cup day will make their presence felt, but it is difficult to line up the form. Of those three I prefer Airstream, as he is the best weighted and was hitting the line hardest. Roubechon is a talented galloper, and the best in the business, Noel Callow takes the ride, but he is badly off at the weights.
Suggested bet: Testafiable (E/W).
Race 2: L'Oreal Paris Plate.
Queen of the Hill is a weighted certainty. Jet Spur and Stratum have to haul 60 Kg up the straight, and Ferocity 57.5, whereas Queen of the Hill gets in with 54.5 Kg, and Captain Callow on her back. Weight will make all the difference here, and I can't see her getting beaten.
Suggested bet: Queen of the Hill straight out.
Race 3: Saab Quality.
Unless you have been living under a rock for the last week, I'm sure you have heard about Mr. Celebrity's Geelong Cup run, where he missed the start by five lengths, charged home to be beaten about a neck, and was declared a non runner. I can't honestly see anything beating him home. Confectioner is clearly the second best horse in the race, but may find it tough with 58 Kg. Dizelle could run a big race, so look out for her.
Suggested bet: Exacta. Mr Celebrity - Field ($14 for $1)
Race 4: Wakeful Stakes
Astronomia dominates the market which, in light of her dominant win at Caulfield last start is to be expected. She is the deserved favourite.
Looking for value however, I think we should look in the direction of the other Gai Waterhouse runner, Beauty Watch. She has always given the impression of a horse who would get better over ground, and be suited to Flemington. She ran a cracking race to beat home Mnemosyne in the Flight Stakes, and the race she ran subsequently was that of a filly looking for extra distance.
Suggested bet: Beauty Watch (E/W)
Race 5: Myer Classic
The first of the Group One's. In light of her brilliant run in the Cox Plate, Lotteria dominates the market, at about $3. However, I think there are a couple of things to be wary of. Firstly, she had an extremely tough run last week, and backing up at a shorter distance will not be easy. Secondly, when observing the horses in the mounting yard before the Cox Plate last week, I must say I cannot remember seeing a horse look as magnificent as she did. Gai could not possibly have had her any better. What goes up, must come down. She is a class horse, but is vulnerable here.
Shania Dane is the one I want to be on here. Toorak Hcp run was full of merit after trying to lead all the way, was more than competitive with Sydney's best sprinter-milers (including the aformentioned Lotteria). Beadman should be able to take a nice sit and get to the front at the right time.
Suggested bet: Shania Dane (E/W)
Race 6: VRC Derby
Last Saturday at the Valley, I ran into Graeme Rogerson, walking from his stalls back to mounting yard, and I asked him about Duelled. He said he was extremely confident about the Derby, and "if we can win here it would be nice, but the main target is the Derby". So of course, I went and backed Manton.
Duelled won.
I'm inclined to stick with Graeme here though. The way in which Duelled was able to make two runs, getting up to third from about last at the 800m, and then able to tough it out over the closing stages and hold out Manton was the run of a real stayer.
Pendragon has been supremely impressive this Spring, but frankly, $2.70 is no value, and from barrier 15 he is going to find it very hard.
I find it hard to leave out Gallant Guru, except that over the years the Geelong Classic has proved a very weak form line into the Derby. Could well show up.
Suggested bet: Duelled (E/W)
Race 7: Mackinnon Stakes
Lad of the Manor will win this. How Activation is favourite I don't know. It is absolutely bizarre to me. He has beaten absolutely nothing. My biggest concern is Desert War.
Suggested bet: Lad of the Manor (whatever you are betting, triple it)
Race 8: Salinger Stakes
Absolutely cracking race here, with any number of chances I could easily justify. I am going to go with the forgotten runner, the Hong Kong horse Cape of Good Hope.
Now, he of course gets his head kicked in by Silent Witness every time he races, but he is more than competitive when he can get away from his bogey man.
He won the Golden Jubilee (the best sprint race in Britain, won by Choisir a couple of years ago) in race record time, and of course in Australia last Autumn won the Australia Stakes, and was third to Fastnet Rock and Alinghi in the Lightning. He is not well off at the weights, but I think $14 justifies having a nibble.
Last year's winner Takeover Target and headcase Falkirk are the main dangers.
Suggested bet: Cape of Good Hope (E/W)
Race 9: Yallambee Stud Stakes
I was all fired up to back Recapitalize, and then the barrier draw comes out and he is starting on the other side of the Maribyrnong!
In light of this, I am going to go with the in form Volitant. He has won his last two, impressively, isn't badly off at the weights, will go forward and lead, and will be very, very hard to chase down.
Suggested bet: Volitant (E/W)
Posted by Tim in at 02:00 PM | Comments (0) | Permalink
Friday Ballarat and Shepparton
Very confident of a winner at Ballarat and also a couple of other good chances.
2/11 Imqteeboy. Run had to be seen to be believed last start, galloped before start tailed off then caught field and went 3 wide to finish 3rd not beaten far.Driver change is significant Only draw back is now outside front draw.
4/5 Oliver khan. Fitter for one run and is an eachway chance here.
4/7 Damoan ross. Was dissapointing last start after good win at Terang former Kiwi in same stable as Imqteeboy and big chance here.
Shepparton
2/2 Disengaged. Natural improvement would see this horse very hard to beat although quite a hard field 6 8 9 look other chances.
9/7 Glasscutters atom. is first up since June but has trialed well here good eachway chance.
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 09:08 AM | Comments (0) | Permalink
October 26, 2005
Wednesday results
We only had the one as one of our selections was scratched.
2/2 Spirit of the sea. Finally saluted after 44 starts was at a short price but showed lots of courage to lead and fight on after being headed near finish.
4/12 Miami key was a late scratching.
No harness in Victoria tomorrow but will post a couple at Ballarat and also Shepparton Friday night.
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 07:47 PM | Comments (0) | Permalink
October 25, 2005
Geelong Wednesday
2/2 Spirit of the sea. Racing in career best form after changing stable has had 43 starts without win but good run last start. Unknown in standing start events so take on trust.Drawn to lead and if gets easy lead will be hard to beat.
4/12 Miami key . Has been favorite in only two starts and has won here will be hard to beat on trial win at Ballarat.
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 01:03 PM | Comments (0) | Permalink
Mildura
Dont have any for Mildura as they dont make there trial results available to me despite requests for same, and dont publish on the harness website.This is one of the only clubs who dont do so .They must be happy with the turnover and dont want to increase it with our help.
Any of you people who live in that area i would love to include them in system if you can help just contacT me through this site .
cheers
Barney
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 08:12 AM | Comments (0) | Permalink
October 24, 2005
Monday results
Was quite confident of a result today but left it in.
Ruthless Knight was up to its old tricks caused false start and then raced fiercely during race when it deathseated has been stood down for fourteen days and two trials.
Oscardelafighter didnt really do much and actualy finished last after being well in the market.
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 07:05 PM | Comments (0) | Permalink
October 23, 2005
Kilmore summary
Very hard day with a few of the shorties being beaten.The biggest dissapointment to me was Sokyola whose best form may now behind him but perhaps a bit premature to write him of just yet.
Did manage to get a few winners and placegetters in the horses i mentioned but didnt bet myself today as too hard.
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 08:00 PM | Comments (0) | Permalink
Bendigo monday
Have a couple at Bendigo and we should go close to getting a winner.
3/7 Ruthless knight Can do a bit wrong in its races but did trial well at Marybourgh last week and not a bad run before that could go close in this.
6/8 Oscardelafighter From strong stable wide draw against but some sort of chance on trial win at Cranbourne.
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 01:45 PM | Comments (0) | Permalink
Saturday results
Not a real flash night for us several of our tips were heavily backed ,this is sometimes the bad side of my system especially with first starters and horses first up from spell.We did get a winner and a placing so not all bad.
Newcastle Burrell and Sand pebbles unplaced, i am going to adjust system so these class horses dont qualify as to hard to tip.
Meteor Prince Won but was short price.
Ballarat.
Ruthless knight Didnt start is in on monday at Bendigo.
Safari heavily supported and didnt have much luck will improve.
Norm Gallagher Backed in to favortism and finished 5th.
Xandu rock 3rd but had no luck at all checked at start and also in run then led 3 wide horses follow up.
Abocrombie dexter was caught too far back and couldnt make ground.
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 08:38 AM | Comments (0) | Permalink
October 22, 2005
Kilmore Cup meeting Sunday
Have had a bit of a look at the program and think it is a very hard meeting with a few shorties that should win.
In the first 7 Hombre higgins should prove too strong perhaps 5 /6 /8 for the tri
2 Small field but looks very open perhaps the 2/5 and 6
3 Interested in the 10 Toppie otara is in tonight at Ballarat but if starts maybe worth a $1 each way.
4 The nine Bel cardo master Likes the stand and good each way .the favorite will be the 12 who at last standing start galloped.
5/8 Sokoyola probably worth the cost of admission to see this horse alone is getting set for the miracle mile should win this perhaps 1/4 9 for quin and tris
6 A very average trotters race perhaps the three Always a rainbow each way
7 The Kilmore cup and for a change all horse are of the scratch mark with no handicaped horses starting.Very hard race with best chances seem to be 10 Robin hood 5 Sequioahs spirit 1 Ok windemrer who goes well from the stand and the 12 Scruffy murphy.
8 Keep an eye on the 4 Classy cullen who is having first start in Australia 12 Let thepartybegin has ability but erratic
9 Also hard race but the 5 Ambro excel looks the one to beat but keep an eye on the6 if gets start is very smart also the 2 won for us during the week and i always respect the 8.
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 08:53 AM | Comments (0) | Permalink
Results friday
Another good day for us with two tips allbut put up late for a winner and a third.
The third place was Imquiteaboy and i think may live up to name as missed start and was tailed off last , then chased field and tacked on circled field and not beaten that far enormous run.
Alta calypso won for us in a fairly good field.
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 08:23 AM | Comments (0) | Permalink
October 21, 2005
Saturday Newcastle and Ballarat
Have a few today at both venues.Will look at the Kilmore cup meeting seperately and post tomorrow morning.
Newcastle
4/8 Burrell Is first up but has a good strike rate 62 starts for 28 wins so bears respect in tough field
4/10 Sand pebbles Did a bit wrong at Harold park last start won trial in quick time at Goulburn as is in the Hancock stable so respect. The nine is in great form but this harder race.
7/9 Metoer prince Good run last start when just failed good chance here.
Ballarat.
2/12 ruthless knight Was in market last start when brok e in score up so did well to finish fourth chance at odds(is in Bendigo on monday off the front)
5/10 Safari horse from this stable do improve and fast trial winner at Ballarat but is first up respect.
8/4 Norm gallagher first starter in good stable and trial winner at Ballarat good chance in even field
9/6 Xandu rock kiwi having first start here trial winner at Bendigo in slow time but field doesnt seem that strong.
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 05:17 PM | Comments (0) | Permalink
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Echuca Result and Friday tips
Been flat out so late posting sorry.
Charlton
4/1 Imquiteaboy Terang Trial winner and nice drawn having first start in Australia from New Zealand big chance.
Cranbourne
6/7 Alta Calypso Form not that flash and did a bit wrong last start take on trust but has trialed ok since last run.
Echuca result
Redgum finished 4th so no pay.
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 12:12 PM | Comments (0) | Permalink
October 20, 2005
Cox Plate
Here is your runner by runner preview of the Weight for Age Championship of Australasia.
1. Greys Inn
5YO Horse
(Zabeel - Great Verdict)
Jockey: W. Marwing
Trainer: Mike De Kock
Barrier: 2
Odds: $16
Top class South African horse whose second behind Vengeance of Rain in the QE2 in Hong Kong is an outstanding form line for this. Sure to take a great deal of improvement from fourth in the Yalumba last start. Absolute must for the multiples, but not certain he has quite what it takes to win. Should get a nice run just off the pace.
2. Lad of the Manor
6YO Gelding
(Zabeel - Matrona)
Jockey: B. Johns
Trainer: Roger Hoysted
Barrier: 7
Odds: $10
Has been in outstanding form this preparation, winning the Liston and Feehan, and second beaten less than a length by Makybe Diva in the Turnbull. The two main factors in his favour are his love for the Valley, where he has won four from four, and the fact that he should be able to get a perfect run slightly forward from midfield. Running him down will be very, very difficult. Excellent winning chance.
3. Super Kid
6YO Horse
(Gaius - Pompeii Pride)
Jockey: N. Rawiller
Trainer: John Moore
Barrier: 5
Odds: $21
Two time Hong Kong G1 winner who has been very impressive coming second to Barely A Moment in both the DRC Cup and the Toorak, both when condeding substantial weight. However, a Cox Plate is a different proposition and I don't think he has quite what it takes to be competitive in a race of this class. General opinion of international racing experts (I don't claim to be one) is that he is a rung below the top flight. Should be safe to leave out but cannot write off completely.
4. Confectioner
5YO Gelding
(Bubble Gum Fellow - Princess Blue)
Jockey: C. Williams
Trainer: David Hayes
Barrier: 12
Odds: $18
One of the form horses of the Spring with a win in the Craiglee and placings in the Turnbull and Yalumba (the latter in which he was slaughtered by Williams). In my opinion, this horse is more a staying type who will be better suited by a longer distance, or a track such as Flemington when he has more time to wind up and put in a long sustained run. Also, with barrier 12 jockey faces the dilemma of going forward and possibly getting caught wide or going back and being forced to out sprint Makybe Diva and Xcellent. Can't see him showing up here. Get on now for the Sandown Classic!
5. Desert War
5YO Gelding
(Desert King - High Heels)
Jockey: L. Cassidy
Trainer: Gai Waterhouse
Barrier: 1
Odds: $18
Temperamental horse who seems to have got his mind back together in his last couple of runs, with wins in the Hill and Epsom in Sydney. I think he will will lead and the tempo will be moderate, so it will be a difficult proposition catching him. Against that, he may now handle the Melbourne way of going and lacks class in comparison to some of these others. One for the multiples.
6. Fields of Omagh
8YO Gelding
(Rubiton - Finneto)
Jockey: S. King
Trainer: David Hayes
Barrier: 10
Odds: $21
Grand old campaigner who has been going extremely well this preparation. Although he seems to show up every year, I don't believe that he has the scope to improve that some others do, and therfore I can't see him winning. Throw him in for third in your trifecta, but that's as far as I can see him going.
7. Tosen Dandy
Second in Cranbourne Cup at last start is all you need to know. Disgrace he is in the field.
8. Xcellent
4YO Gelding
(Pentire - Excelo)
Jockey: M. Coleman
Trainer: Mike Moroney
Barrier: 13
Odds: $7
He is the only horse in this field who I believe has the capacity to be a horse of the calibre of, say, if not a Kingston Town, then a Better Loosen Up or Northerly. I say this because his deeds on the other side of the Tasman already would put him in this class. Nevertheless, it is an entirely different proposition over here.
I am not as concerned as some by the wet track in light of his failure in the AJC Derby because firstly, a Heavy at Randwick is a vastly different proposition to dead/slow at Moonee Valley. Secondly, his preparation for the AJC Derby could be described as inadequate at best, flying in two days before, and thirdly, on his breeding, there is nothing to say he is a duck but also, nothing to say he will be a duffer.
His run in the Mudgway Stakes was simply outstanding, running over the top of a field headed by the classy Miss Potential, and in the Kelt on 1 October, he nearly got knocked over, recovered, overtook the field in a burst from the 500-300, then seemed a bit lost at the front but held on to win comfortably.
If he puts it all together, I believe he will win.
9. Outback Prince
4YO Horse
(Desert Prince - Terrestial)
Jockey: D. Beadman
Trainer: Anthony Cummings
Barrier: 6
Odds: $126
Not the worst horse in the race (second or third worst), but simply not good enough.
10. Makybe Diva
7YO mare
(Desert King - Tugela)
Jockey: G. Boss
Trainer: Lee Freedman
Barrier: 4
Odds: $2.15
Whichever way you look at it, the race centres around this superb mare. However, I have to admit I don't believe she is as good as she is made out to be, but that is another topic for another day.
To tell you something you don't know, she has been in great form this Spring, winning the Memsie, beaten a head in the Feehan, and winning the Turnbull.
On proven form she deserves to be the favourite, but the odds to me are massive unders. Firstly, this is a top line field with a good number of other winning chances. Secondly, coming from behind at Moonee Valley and navigating your way through a big field is never an easy proposition, and I think she really is a stayer who needs a long sustained run to get to her best, and isn't blessed with an outstanding turn of foot.
The horse most likely to win, but not the one I would be betting on.
11. Sky Cuddle
NO.
12. Lotteria
4YO Mare
(Redoute's Choice - Rose Reward)
Jockey: C. Munce
Trainer: Gai Waterhouse
Barrier: 8
Odds: $31
She can't win (sprinter-miler IMO) but is a very interesting proposition nonetheless as she will probably lead, or sit outside the leader. If they don't go too fast it will set things up for Lad of the Manor. If the pace is keen, it will help Makybe Diva and Xcellent.
13. God's Own
3YO Colt
(Redoute's Choice - Angel In Disguise)
Jockey: S. Baster
Trainer: Bart Cummings
Barrier: 14
Odds: $9
His Caulfield Guineas win was good but it wasn't as good as it was made out to be. Paratroopers stopped - he did not come through with a withering burst. The new Bel Esprit.
14. Hotel Grand
3YO Colt
(Grand Lodge - Terrestial)
Jockey: J. Ford
Trainer: Anthony Cummings
Barrier: 11
Odds: $13
Lucky to win Champion Stakes (I will go to my grave knowing Pendragon was a certainty beaten - thank you Rod Quinn). 3YO's have a generally poor record in this race and although he looks promising, I don't think he has what it takes to win here.
In summary, my selections are as follow:
1. Xcellent
2. Makybe Diva
3. Lad of the Manor
4. Greys Inn
5. Desert War
I think it should be a fantastic race whoever wins.
Best of luck punters.
Tim.
tim@insiderail.com
Posted by Tim in at 12:18 PM | Comments (0) | Permalink
results Geelong
Both horses placed last night with Call me next a huge run to finish 3rd Spirit of the sea led and finished 2nd both worth following.
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 12:02 PM | Comments (0) | Permalink
October 19, 2005
Bendigo results
A fairly good night for us with 2 winners and three placings out of our seven,
Agean lady was as i expected heavily backed and finished third follow up.
Arbitros won nicely leading all the way
Retlaw unplaced finished fifth at big odds
Diamond paul won
Lucky punch unplaced
Disengaged 2nd at good odds
Pretty magic third also at big odds
All who follow should have finished in front
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 12:05 PM | Comments (0) | Permalink
October 18, 2005
Geelong Cup
I like Men At Work in the big one. Only goes up 1.5 Kg on his Metropolitan third placing, when absolutely slaughtered by Boss (to his credit, Boss admitted it was a shocker). Railings has since franked the form, I think it is safe to say.
Steven King goes on here, and from Barrier 1 shouldn't have to go around too many. As usual, it is an open and interesting race with some top line gallopers and bush battlers mixed together.
$6.50 is a very appealing price.
In the Classic, I think Gallant Guru has what it takes. Half brother to AJC Derby winner Gold Guru, he has worked through his classes nicely over in SA. Normally SA form doesn't hold up, but I think there is a lot to like about this one. Holly Go Lightly franked the form with a second placing behind Astronomia in the 3YO fillies race over 2000m at Caulfield last Saturday.
Very good chance, $3 is a bit keen though.
Posted by Tim in at 07:48 PM | Comments (0) | Permalink
Geelong Wednesday and Echuca Thursday
Posting these early as have a bit on next couple days and may not get time.
geelong
4/5 Call me next. Was favorite last start and a bit dissapointing but give another chance here.
4/9 Spirit of the sea. Was a nice run last start second row draw but is a top chance.
Cant really split these two so will box them up in Quinella and exactas.
Echuca thursday
6/8 Redgum Also started favorite last start and as they say where there is smoke theres fire so expect improvement.
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 08:55 AM | Comments (0) | Permalink
October 17, 2005
Bendigo Tuesday
Have a few tonight and think we might have found a smokey.
2/3 Agean Lady 7yo mare having first start from a very astute stable. Have checked trial results and has only trialed the once here where it qualified.Could be set for first up go monitor betting.
3/2 Arbitros. Frst up for over twelve months and in good stable each way.
5/8 Retlaw Will be big odds and is a rough chance on trial win here has won before at big odds so each way.
7/2 Diamond paul. Nice draw helps it chances and also has won here.
7/7 Lucky punch Unwanted in betting last start is better than that and good local stable can improve.
8/6 Pretty magic will be fitter for last run and doesnt have to improve much to win this.
8/10 Disengaged First starter who won a trial at Shepparton in good time so each way first up.
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 07:38 PM | Comments (0) | Permalink
Warragul result
Bounced back today with a big winner $19 odd up here and better down south so good start to week.
cheers
Hearltie Won
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 07:33 PM | Comments (0) | Permalink
October 16, 2005
Warragul Monday
Only one and is rough but will be fitter for first up run and nice draw so maybe a little each way
6/1 Heartlite
Do have a few at Bendigo and confident we will soon return to winners list.
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 05:14 PM | Comments (1) | Permalink
Results Saturday
Not much joy last night only the one placing from the three starters but not a great deal of damage either.
Deapooli Never saw race so cant comment but unplaced
Dream mover unplaced and dissapointing as thought ir would place, the horse that i thought would win did and is going well Abercrombie dexter.
Metero Prince was probably our best chance and ran accordingly finishing second after leading and setting fast pace, just weakened on run and woth following.The other two are now out of system.
Robric Jonboy.. Was also dissapointing although think Swish (Max Wishart driver) may have been a victim of circumstances as got away well and had to check to miss galloper and was caught on rails and stayed there until tried to use cheats lane but was too far back. I really expected the horse to go forward early and probably death seat as is a strong stayer .Oh well easy come easy go.
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 08:41 AM | Comments (0) | Permalink
October 15, 2005
Nyah Pacing cup
Tonight is the first of the country cups so i have had a bit of a look at it and think i might be able to get the winner.
7/11 Robric jonboy is just a shade below top class but this race should suit goes ok from stand and is pretty tough the other chances seem to be the pole horse from the Manning stable and also the other Manning hore the 9 jilliby spice and also the local who has won its last four 3 Cosmic legacy although this field is harder.so if you box 11 /1. 9. 3 Should go close to a collect
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 10:34 AM | Comments (0) | Permalink
October 14, 2005
Result thursday
Our out of system tip Ruthless knight finished fourth but still a huge run Broke in score up and missed start then went three wide to finish just behind place getters will give another chance.
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 11:16 AM | Comments (0) | Permalink
Weekend tips
Very quiet Weekend with the only ones being at Newcastle where we do have a bit of sucess so heres hoping.
1/9 Deapooli. Is on its last run for us won first up then not disgraced in harder race last time seems to race better when driven cold for one sprint.
3/4 Dream mover should be at peak fitness now and has improved at each start this time in hard to see it turning the tables on 8 Abacrombie dexter but could be a good place chance.
9/4 Metoer Prince fast trial winner here on Wednesday and good chance in this although the 5 Ponderosa laughing had good form before let up.
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 09:15 AM | Comments (0) | Permalink
October 13, 2005
Caulfield Cup Preview
Here is the full, runner by runner preview of one of the great races in Australian racing.
1. Mummify.
D. Nikolic/Lee Freedman
Weight: 57Kg
Odds: $18
Barrier: 20
Proven class horse of the field with no less than five G1 wins, three at Caulfield, and of course won this race in 2003. As he approaches his 50th start, the 6YO son of Jeune is racing as well as ever, as has been evidenced by his last start win in the Craven Plate at Randwick.
Nevertheless, with barrier 20, he will need luck attempting to cross the field to get into a forward position. However, he could possibly race a little off the pace, as he did in his Singapore victory.
Whilst he is a top quality stayer, the barrier, the hefty weight (57Kg), and his need for a bone dry track mean that I can't tip him here, but I wouldn't be surprised if he ran a big race.
2. Rakzalla
K. McEvoy/Saeed Bin Suroor
Weight: 57 Kg
Odds: $81
Barrier: 18
Stranger things have happened, but he looks to be using this race as a lead in to the Melbourne Cup, which he finished ninth in last year. I am not especially au fait with the international form, but I believe he is $81 for a reason.
3. Fight Your Corner
SCRATCHED
4. Eye Popper
S. Fujita/Izumi Shmimizu
Weight: 54 Kg
Barrier: 9
Odds: $61
Japanese horse with some very good 2400m form, and beat home Makybe Diva at his last start. Will hopefully go better than the other Japanese horses to come out here, but attempting to win the Caulfield Cup first up after a spell is extremely difficult. Knockout chance.
5. Plastered
P. Harvey/Lindsey Smith
Weight: 54 Kg
Barrier: 16
Odds: $5.50
Outstanding winner of 2004 VRC Derby and 2005 WA Derby (although the latter is not the strongest race) who has been solid without being spectacular this preparation. I think he's simply a little more dour than many had assessed him.
His last start run in the Turnbull was excellent, as he hit the line hard after encountering some trouble in the straight. It is somewhat unconventional to put a horse into a Caulfield Cup third up, but Lindsey Smith is an unconventional trainer - who gets damn good results.
Barrier 16 is going to make it very difficult for him, but if he can get a nice position one off the fence he should be charging home.
6. Carte Diamond
W. Marwong/Brian Ellison
Weight: 53 Kg
Barrier: 7
Odds: $31
The hurdler who has caused considerable controversy over his inclusion ahead of the likes of Lachlan River (who has subsequently gained a run as an emergency anyway). Has never actually won a Stakes race, and I can't see him doing so here.
7. Sir Dex
Z. Purton/Gregory Hickman
Weight: 53 Kg
Barrier: 1
Odds: $11
I think Sir Dex will be the first runner ever in the Caulfield Cup to have had his sire stand in Pakistan (he was here when he serviced Sir Dex' dam however), so that is a record if nothing else. Nevertheless, I think there is a good chance they may get something else as well!
Sir Dex' form at WFA this campaign has been outstanding, winning the Warwick Stakes first up over 1400m, a narrow second in the Chelmsford, then an outstanding third in the Underwood (when three wide all the way), and another fine run to be fourth in the Turnbull, beaten just over a length.
Going back to winter, he won the Prime Minister's Cup over 2400m at WFA on the Gold Coast. To be winning a Caulfield Cup, you want a horse with both speed and staying ability. Sir Dex has demonstrated both.
Barrier one is sensational, and I would expect him to be in the absolute box seat, one back off the leader, on a moderate tempo, where he will have ample opportunity to demonstrate his brilliant sprint (and you don't run over the top of Dance Hero and Court's In Session over 1400m unless you have that).
He gets 5 Kg weight relief from his recent performances. I believe that he will win, and that he represents the best value - if he was trained by Gai or Lee, had Boss or Oliver riding him, and was by Zabeel, he would be about $5 in my opinion.
8. Stella Grande.
N.Ryan/Lee Freedman
Weight: 52.5 Kg
Barrier: 10
Odds: $81
You simply could not back him on recent form. Won at G2 level and was second in the AJC Derby over Autumn, but has been beaten 9 lengths at his two last starts.
9. Railings
G. Childs/John Hawkes
Weight: 52 Kg
Barrier: 12
Odds: $11
Impressive winner of AJC Metropolitan. Metropolitan winners have a very poor record in the Caulfield Cup, and I can't see this changing. The thing is, assuming that the tempo is favouring the backmarkers, I cannot see him outsprinting say, Plastered and Dizelle to the finish line. D. Beadman opted for Dizelle, so we know who he thinks is a better chance of the two, and the opinion of Australia's best jockey is good enough for me.
10. Demerger
D. Dunn/Danny O'Brien
Weight: 51.5
Barrier: 11
Odds: $21
Won Adelaide Cup by seven lengths in the Autumn. Her performances this campaign have been good without being spectacular, and looks a very good Melbourne Cup chance. Will run on well but I can't see her winning, for the same reason I can't see Railings winning.
11. Dizelle
D. Beadman/John Hawkes
Weight: 51.5 Kg
Barrier: 21
Odds: $14
Has mixed her form this Spring, going 2/10/3/11. Mind you, she has excuses for her poor runs. In the Hill Stakes (10th) she was only beaten 2.3 lengths charging home off a slow tempo. In the Turnbull (11th) copped severe interference in the straight.
She will be at the very back of the field, but if anyone can weave his way through, it is Darren Beadman. Her one run over 2400m, was absolutely brilliant as she leapt out of the ground to win the AJC Oaks. Definite for the multiples, and if they are running on will be hard to hold out.
12. Hollow Bullet
V. Duric/John McArdle
Weight: 51.5 Kg
Barrier: 15
Odds: $51
Top 3YO who hasn't gone on with it as an older horse, althought wet tracks may have a little to do with it. Pretty much in the Railings basket - horse who even if they are running on won't have the class to go with Plastered, Dizelle etc.
13. Portland Singa
L. Cassidy/Neville McBurney
Weight: 51.5 Kg
Barrier: 6
Odds: $21
Won Brisbane Cup by two lengths in the Autumn. Her performances this campaign have been good without being spectacular, and looks a very good Melbourne Cup chance. Will run on well but I can't see her winning, for the same reason I can't see Railings winning.
If it looks like I substituted the word 'Adelaide' for 'Brisbane', and 'seven' for 'two', and copied the rest of Demerger's assessment, it is beacuse I did. These horses are twins in my opinion.
Their colours are almost identical, dark blue with diamond bands, Demerger's white and Portland Singa's pink.
In all seriousness, I think Portland Singa should definitely go in the multiples. She can take a forward position from barrier 6 and has been running on really well over shorter distances.
14. Vouvray
S. Seamer/Peter G. Moody
Weight: 51.5 Kg
Barrier: 14
Odds: $13
This mare really ticks all the boxes. Solid WFA form when marginally outclassed allows her to get very well in at the weights. If she had won any handicaps, you would call her a good old fashioned handicapper.
Has been running on well without being outstanding (is this a recurring theme?). Very good chance. Not a whole lot more to add. Should get back but not too far. S. Seamer is the right man to ride.
15. Wild Iris
Ms K. O'Hara/Guy Walter
Weight: 51.1 Kg
Barrier: 19
Odds: $31
Good to see the good young apprentice Kathy O'Hara get a ride get a go in a big race like this. Couldn't overhaul Mummify in the Craven last start and this is no easier. Can't see her outsprinting Plastered, Vouvray etc. $31 for a reason.
16. El Segundo
D. Gauci/Colin Little
Weight: 49.5 Kg
Barrier: 4
Odds: $3.50
Looking at his last start demolition of the Yalumba Stakes field, and bearing in mind his 7.5 Kg weight drop, El Segundo is the rightful favourite. All things being equal, he would win. But all things are not equal! I think the factors of the big field, the seven day back up, the step up to 2400m, make him no certainty, and certainly the $3.50 is a silly price. If he can put it all together, should win.
17. Irish Darling
D. Moor (a)/Tony Vasil
Weight: 49.5 Kg
Barrier: 3
Odds: $101
No chance. $101 for a reason. Disgrace she is in the field ahead of Natural Blitz.
18. Leica Falcon
C. Williams/Richard Freyer
Weight: 48 Kg
Barrier: 13
Odds: $7
The fairytale story of the cup if he can manage to win it. Very impressive winning the Winning Edge over 2400m last start. Has no weight to carry. Still, it is a massive class rise and despite the light weight I think it will be too much for him.
19. Lachlan River
S. King/John Morrissey
Weight: 51.5 Kg
Barrier: 17
Odds: $31
I keep coming back to this, but although I really like this horse, I cannot see him outsprinting the likes of Vouvray, Plastered and Dizelle to the finish line. Quality stayer who won the QTC Derby, but can't win here.
In summary, this race will be determined substantially by the tempo of the race. I cannot predict how the race will be run exactly, but suffice to say that if the following horses do not go forward, or at the very least midfield, they cannot win:
Stella Grande
Railings
Demerger
Hollow Bullet
Portland Singa
Wild Iris
Irish Darling
Lachlan River
I cannot recommend having anything on these horses.
Also, I cannot see any of the international horses winning, so you can eliminate the following:
Rakzalla
Eye Ppopper
Carte Diamond
This leaves us with the following horses, those quality horses who race on the pace, and the better of the backmarkers:
Mummify
Plastered
Sir Dex
Dizelle
Vouvray
El Segundo
Leica Falcon
Not coincidentally, these horses are the seven most favoured runners.
I anticipate a good track, but if slow or heavy, Mummify and Plastered can't win. Mummify can't handle dead either.
My selections:
Assuming an unbiased track: Sir Dex
Assuming on pace bias: Sir Dex
Assuming run on bias: Plastered
Final top five, anticipating a good track without any particular bias:
1. Sir Dex
2. El Segundo
3. Plastered
4. Dizelle
5. Vouvray
Best of luck, and I all hope that you enjoy what should be an absolutely fantastic race.
Posted by Tim in at 04:04 PM | Comments (0) | Permalink
Wednesday Results
Prince bonton. Was first up since 2004 and what did driver do deathseated and quite happy to be there so it looked stil seemed like it was going to win half way down straight then hard run took its toll. Follow up as will be fitter next start.
Heartlite .Also first up and did best work in the straight didnt have much luck as was trapped on rails and pushed back to last also probably worth following.
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 08:37 AM | Comments (0) | Permalink
October 12, 2005
Ballarat Thursday
Because of the scarcity of tips at present moment i have decided to go a bit wider to cater for desperates like myself and have come up with one at Ballarat on Thursday.
8/7 Ruthless Knight. Didnt qualify in system but did win a trial at Marybourgh by a wide margin 15 metres and slowed down in last half.On that win should be a good chance in this.
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 05:40 PM | Comments (0) | Permalink
Busters revival
Just a follow up to the run yesterday the horse has been stood down for two trial after breaking in score up and being out of position at start,will keep an eye out for it in future as it does have a bit of ability.
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 05:32 PM | Comments (0) | Permalink
Wednesday tips
Two tonight at Cranbourne and hopefully can improve on our last results.
6/3 Prince Bonton Had good form before spell and has won a trial at Marybourgh in fast time in preparation for this good chance here.
7/5 Heartlite .May have had stable change since last start and has been placed first up before, recent form only fair Warragul trial winner and to be driven by Debbie Quinlan so each way chance first up.
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 09:36 AM | Comments (0) | Permalink
Results Tuesday
Well couldnt get any worse as both horses finished last but at least Breenys crusade gave us a bit of a sight missed the start then went three wide in last lap to move into third place but tired as had right to do.
The other one hopeless will folLow up on stewards report and post here im referring to Busters revival
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 09:31 AM | Comments (0) | Permalink
October 11, 2005
How embarassing Harold park
Cant believe the run today of Busters revival last the whole way did not even get up to the second row .Hard to believe after its trial win at Newcastle when went good time winning, that is now the second time so may not be a betting proposition(you watch it will come out and win next start)
Sorry about that
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 06:49 PM | Comments (0) | Permalink
October 10, 2005
Monday result
Only the one today and no return for us.Lord Harifield got a fair way back and trailed into race ok but never really finished it of but we did get a win out of it.
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 07:57 PM | Comments (0) | Permalink
Tuesday tips Harold Park and Geelong
Only have a couple in a quiet week and one at Harold park which i dont normally bet on but ony a country front meeting so maybe worth a little each way.
Harold Park.2/8 Busters revival.Has only had one start and finished a long way back after galloping and do plenty wrong, has been back to the trials and won one last Wednesday at Newcastle in good time so does have ability.
Geelong.
4/9 Breenys crusade. Is on its last chance with me has started favorite at two starts in Australia after having good form in Nz may get a nice trail into race from second row so give one more chance.
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 03:46 PM | Comments (0) | Permalink
October 09, 2005
System Explanation
Been asked by a few people to explain my system so will endevour to do so here.
The system is based entirely on trial results which i obtain from various sources including on the net at Harness .org.au Trot guide and from several clubs that provide them to me.
Over the years i have refined the times a horse has to run to qualify in my system and have now decided on 2.4 Mile rate in Victoria and 2.2 in Nsw.the difference in the states are simply results as i have found that if a horse runs 2.4 at Newcastle trials it is not really competive in races whereas is Vic they seem to be.
I give each horse three starts or one month in my system then they go off my current databasei only take the winner into account or in the event of a dead heat will put both horses into system.
My main data base would contain about 1000 horses which i leave on for two years before permantly deleting them, i do use the old ones to check if a horse goes ok fresh eg has won after a spell.
The current database contains only eighteen horses which is quite low but times being run at trials right now are quite slow probably caused by weather conditions and the amount of races being held a lot of horses dont seem to be going to trials..
Any one with questions can contact me thru this site or just leave a comment and i will reply.
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 05:53 PM | Comments (1) | Permalink
Newcastle result and Stawell monday tip
Dream mover finished third in race won by Acacromie Dexter as i thought was hoping Dream mover could have run 2nd but not to be, didnt see race as was waylaid at a pub.
Stawell Monday
Only the one qualifier in system today and it won for us recently and should go close again but probably no value.
7/11 lord Harifield.
Have been asked about system and how it works so will post the details shortly for all to see.
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 08:26 AM | Comments (0) | Permalink
October 08, 2005
Newcastle tip
Only the one and really only an outside chance .
2/2 dream mover.Was first up last saturday and moved up to challege for lead only weakened in last bit, should be fitter now and could be rough chance the 4 Abacrombie dexter was too strong last week and should prove one to beat.
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 09:04 AM | Comments (0) | Permalink
Results Friday
Not the best days results for us did get a winner and a couple of placings.
Got to learn not to back my tips at city tracks.
Yarra valley
1/1 Hairy face hutchy led and weakened pulled too hard.
4/8 Spirit of the sea. Was well backed for a horse that hadnt raced for a long time and was still a maiden after 45 starts, still a maiden but finished 3rd.
Harold Park
Under the matress was unplaced enough said.
Shepparton
Vermilion fire 2nd perhaps a bit unlucky as still learning the caper,
Holmes devery Good strong win but odds on.
Redgum Heavily backed but got caught wide and weakened out worth following.
Diamond pearl and Lucky punch both were unplaced the winner Bygone era is one of the horses we were on awhile ago and has maintained form.
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 08:05 AM | Comments (0) | Permalink
Cauflield Guineas Day
Huge day of racing at The Heath tomorrow. Of course, you never know how the bias on that disgraceful track will play, so bet at own risk!
Race 2 - The Boot. Nice type who has been freshened and should run well.
Race 3 - Jadescent. Nice filly who looks a class above them. Queen of the Hill the obvious danger.
Race 4 - Strikeline. Lilando and All Bar One will set a cracking pace out front and this mare should be able to run over the top of them. Any rain will only help.
Race 5 - Grey Song. Each way. Very smart 2400m horse, has been out of form and at $26 is a decent chance of turning it around.
Race 6 - Greys Inn. Most impressive visitor. First up over 2000m is tough but is a seasoned traveller and has done it before. Beaten only a length behind Vengeance of Rain in the QE2 in Hong Kong.
Race 7.
If Good - Paratroopers
If Dead - Stratum
If Slow/Heavy - Red Dazzler
Race 8 - Our Smoking Joe. Has been racing in great heart and with a bit of give in the track is very well suited. Great barrier which is very important. Captain Callow on.
Race 9 - Aqua D'Amore - Gai trained mare who has outstanding first up record. Classy and has the Captain on.
Best of luck punters.
Posted by Tim in at 01:10 AM | Comments (0) | Permalink
October 07, 2005
Monthly summary September.
Results for September. Quiet month as was away for first week and a half but still quite a good month for us.
32 Bets outlay $64.00
8 wins
10 Placings
total return for a $1 each way outlay $82.40
Profit $18.40
Year to date profit of $127.70
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 10:07 AM | Comments (0) | Permalink
October 06, 2005
Friday tips And thursday result
Home again so things back to normal fom tomorrow Friday.
Didnt see
Deapooli race but unplaced but well into the market.
Harold Park .Dont usually tip in the city but going to have something eachway on .
2/7 Under the matress.
Yarra valley.
1/1 Hairy face hutchy. has led at last two starts and given one final chance to break through.
4/8 Spirit of the sea. An 8yo maiden so hard to tip with any confidence but worth a little eachway as did win a trial at Bendigo in ok time.
Shepparton.
1/10 Vermillion fire. Won for us first up and came home well so worth another chance as should be fitter probably a bit harder here.
3/1 Holmes deverry. Also nice win drawn to repeat dose here
4/6 Redgum Is first up from spell but has won before fresh.
.
7/7 Diamond paul is a chance on last win
7/9 Lucky punch .Is class horse of field and will give big sight in this.
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 08:50 PM | Comments (0) | Permalink
October 05, 2005
Result kilmore
Pretty magic finished 2nd at good price probably beaten by the lack of a run.Sat behind leader and got held up used sprint lane but just failed still paid $3.80 a place so a winning bet for me.
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 09:30 PM | Comments (0) | Permalink
Result Tuesday Mildura
Noluck last night as Loves to rock finished 4th.Not a bad run as was three wide early then got perfect sit but got held up when the swoopers came around, got out and finished ok but just failed to nail the place.
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 09:20 AM | Comments (0) | Permalink
October 04, 2005
Newcastle thursday
No Victorian harness on Thursday but we have one at Newcastle Which won for us last Saturday night and will be driven by Australias best reinperson Kerryn gath.Rated only a slow time but has a lot of ability so worth following up on.
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 08:07 PM | Comments (0) | Permalink
Kilmore wednesday
Only the one tomorrow and form is very ordinary but has fair trial form so maybe worth a bit eachway.
1/2 Pretty magic.Trial winner at Bendigo in only fair time and has run 2nd at another trial at Bendigo in slow time .May improve on its only run.
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 04:12 PM | Comments (0) | Permalink
October 03, 2005
Sunday and Monday results
Been out of computer area for a day or so so havent posted Sundays result as yet.
Breenys crusader. Unplaced started favorite again and finished 5th after being slow away and going 3 wide without cover perhaps worth one more chance but is proving costly.
Manwarra acheiver Won and paid $10 odd so nice result for us hope the run continues.
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 09:22 PM | Comments (0) | Permalink
October 02, 2005
Monday and tuesday tips
Only the one at both venues so will post them now.
Marybourgh
7/10 Manwarra acheiver. Will be fitter for last run when doing best work at finish and is a Moonee valley winner so good chance.
Mildura tuesday.
5/3 Loves to rock. should be at peak fitness now at 4th run from spell and nice draw gives it a big chance.
lets hope our good run continues.
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 08:45 AM | Comments (2) | Permalink
Results Newcastle
Another successful night with two winners albut won pretty short and one second placing and two unplaced for the night.
Deapooli Huge win in slow time came from second last to get up on the line paid very well.
Under the matress 2nd nice run no match for the winner but will win one shortly.
Dream mover finished 4th gave a lot of chaek for an outsider is definetly worth following as loomed up and just tired near the line to miss 3rd.
Khan tiger. Big winner but to short for mine starting to put it ogether now.
Busters revival unplaced but was in the market so may also be worth keeping in mind.
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 08:31 AM | Comments (0) | Permalink
October 01, 2005
Good start for night
Just heard first race at Newcastle and we have done it again a $15.90 winner.
Hope somebody had something on it or am i wasting my time.
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 07:39 PM | Comments (3) | Permalink
Sheezalittlebeauty
Gyro seemed to have every chance used the cheats lane and was good odds on course probably worth following.
Brother in law ok now gone home and we are heading back thursday will check re Jack training an outside horse.
For those interested Gyro has travelled to Birdsville twice with me and is in pub photo.
Posted by Barney in Trot Tips at 08:50 AM | Comments (0) | Permalink