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December 30, 2005
Saturday 31/12
Hopefully we can see in the New Year on a winning note, with a bit of bonus beer money!
Moonee Valley
R3, no.1: California Dane
Will be winning. Hopefully get a quote somewhere near even money.
R4, no.3: Transferral
On face value couldn't have him after shocking first up run. But this horse has a history of putting in a bad one first up, then running well second up. Staying type who has won at distance however. Should be at nice odds. Meets mediocre bunch here.
R6, no.3: Leonurus
Has been there and thereabouts this prep witout breaking through. Last start at Flemington was good, and with added fitness, should be too good for moderately performed lot.
Perth Cup
Black Tom
Last run was huge with great final 600m. Early Express who led, only won due to farcical pace - 50-1 shot on his outside ran second. Two miles will find him out.
Magic Millions 3YO
TAB Sportsbet is currently offering $2.40 on Fashions Afield for this race. This is a significantly better price than other bookies. Fashions Afield is one of Australia's best 3YO sprinting fillies, along with Virage De Fortune and Mnemosyne. Last start she won the G1 , $350,000 Flight Stakes, defeating Mnemosyne (amongst others). The second favourite, Diamondsondinside, won a $12,000 Open Handicap at Caloundra, defeating Wolfman. Although the losers of those races are both trained by John Hawkes, I don't think it is necessary to ask him which is better.
Please, for your own benefit, go and have something on before she wins race 6 at Doomben tomorrow. She will start $1.20 or so and therefore not really worth backing - but watch her MM price tumble after she wins.
Back on New Year's Day with the tips for Standish day on Monday.
Posted by Tim in Gallop Tips at December 30, 2005 09:28 AM
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