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January 06, 2006

Friday Tips

Leno disappointing. One paced to line - maybe didn't appreciate the dead going.

Anyway, have a couple for tomorrow at Ballarat.

Race one is for two year old fillies, and I though I would indulge myself by writing a bit about the pedigree of each runner.

1. Gypsy Coupez

By Ne Coupez Pas, a son of the great Nureyev. Disappointment on the track - this is his first Australian crop. Dam has produced two winners from four progeny to race. Is a full sister to 1989 Manifold Stakes winner French Gypsy.

Tim's breeding assessment: 45/100

2. Katmai

This is one to get a bit more excited about! From the family of Klairessa, dam of the great Eight Carat (dam of Octagonal, Mouawad, Kaapstad etc). Grand dam was a black type winner and the dam of two Group One winners, Telesto and Bonanova. The dam is by the outstanding Danehill, and won three races, including two at two. Has produced two runners for two winners (although neither especially good).

Sire Strategic is solid, if not spectacular, achieving a reasonable winners to runners ratio of 59.8%, and has sired a couple of handy 2YO's.

Rating: 80/100

3. Miss Finland

By hot hot hot sire Redoute's Choice. Enough said.

Dam Forest Pearl was unraced, but grand dam Moonshell won Epsom Oaks in England. Her dam produced two other outstanding European performers, Hatha Anna and Doyen.

Rating: 90/100

4. Rossi Bessi

By good sire Red Ransom from Show Her The Money, who has produced handy city performer Medieval Legend.

Rating: 65/100

5. The Girlfriend

By handy sire Spinning World. No black type performers in the first four generations. Dam has produced two winners.

Rating: 50/100

6. The Princess Mary

Sire Forest Glow is not the worst, dam (by Dieu D'or) won a maiden. Happy to leave out.

Rating: 30/100

One who has been lingering in the Black Book for a while is Race 3, no.2 Anna's Choice. Beautifully bred (Redoute's Choice - Miss Kournikova) and won his second start at a Werribee 'metro' meet in the middle of last year. Showed a lot of natural ability, but needed a little bit of time and maturity. Resumes today against an okay lot, and should be very competitive. $4.80 on TAB Fixed Odds is good value.

I am upset by the placement of Lucky Diva in race four. The last thing I would have thought to myself as she was getting run down in the shadows of the post was 'gee, another 100m next time will do the trick'. Could still win as has big class edge, but couldn't have with much confidence.

One in race five who could run a race is number 10, Petit Verdot. Half sister to Amalfi by Carnegie, bred along staying lines so would appreciate more distance so you would think. I observed her in the flesh on debut at Bendigo, and she is a very small filly, and I think the postage stamp might suit her well. Up in class a bit but worth having something on.

One I like at would should be ok odds in the sixth is Rare Poppi. Showed a bit of staying potential last winter, and with a bit more distance should be competitive. Ran on very well last start at Sandown - last 600m in 33.62. Has perfect, one from one, second up record.

Good punting.

Posted by Tim in Gallop Tips at January 6, 2006 01:09 AM

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