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February 10, 2006

Orr Stakes Day

Race 1 - Isanami

Competitive in top line 3YO fillies events last Spring without ever threatening. Fresh record isn't great, but once you look into it, has had excuses. Should be at reasonable odds.

Race 2 - Toulouse Lautrec

Going with the Callow running double to open the day, but this horse was a monty to suffer second up syndrome last start, and he did. Classier than all these, and whilst 59 Kg impost is significant, I think he can give this a good shake.

Race 3 & 4

These races are a lottery and I can't tip anything with confidence. If I have to pick one I'll go with Satin Robes in the fillies and Dubai's Choice in the colts.

Race 5 - Strikeline

Bet of the day for mine. Classy mare with outstanding fresh record, goes great at Caulfield. Will get back and should run over fast pace up front. If it's wet, so much the better.

Race 6 - Regal Roller

Caulfield track specialist whose story is pretty well known. If he runs up to his best, there isn't much speed on, they won't catch hin. As good as Lad of the Manor is, with the lack of speed and his wide barrier, he will be too hard to catch.

Race 7 - Orange County

Tough race with a number of winning chances. Orange County is a smart horse who I think can show up at pretty good odds.

Race 8 - Hollow Bullet

Not quite up to top line company but has proven can sprint well fresh. Big field and should be a lot of pace on, can see her running over the top of them.

Posted by Tim in Gallop Tips at February 10, 2006 11:20 PM

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